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Marist Poll

The latest WNBC/Marist Poll is out. Well, with a 6 p.m. embargo time, but since the embargo has already been broken, here is a summary:

Nobody is coming close to Eliot Spitzer, who leads Tom Suozzi 71-12 with 16 percent undecided.

Spitzer also leads Republicans John Faso and William Weld in the 70-to-20 range, according to Marist.

But Spitzer's challengers shouldn't be completely dejected. Marist's poll is based on "registered" voters, not "likely voters." And the poll has a 4-point margin for error.

Ok, maybe they should be dejected...

In all seriousness, the "likely voters" issue could loom large, as a higher-than-expected upstate vote or lower-than-expected New York City vote would likely hurt Spitzer at least a little in a primary or general election. But a fifty-point lead is pretty large in any scenario.

You can see the full poll here.

Even the candidates are breaking the embargo! From the Faso campaign, just emailed to reporters:

STATEMENT FROM FASO SPOKESWOMAN SUSAN DEL PERCIO ON THE MOST RECENT WNBC/MARIST POLL Poll Shows Faso with Nine Point Lead in Potential Republican Primary

As always, the only poll that really matters is the one conducted on Election Day. However, the numbers we are seeing today continue a trend of positive, forward steps for our campaign.

John has been traveling throughout New York State for months promoting a plan that cuts taxes, reforms government and reduces costs for individuals and businesses. The results of this poll suggest that his message is resonating with Republican voters.

Faso leads Weld among registered GOP voters, 30 percent to 21 percent. In January, Weld held an 8 percent to 4 percent lead over Faso.

49 percent of Republicans are undecided, compared to 50 percent in January - suggesting Faso is a potential, big beneficiary of Tom Golisano's decision to sidestep the race. Interesting, given that Faso is the one candidate Golisano said he wouldn't consider backing given Faso's background as a lobbyist.

By Ed Moltzen  ·  10 May 2006
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