Late Final: : 50 Percent

50 Percent

From the CBS report on the latest CBS-NYTimes poll on the presidential horse race:

Potentially more important, Mr. Bush is not breaking the 50 percent mark in many recent surveys — falling short of a benchmark some analysts feel is key for an incumbent president. In the CBS/NYT poll, the president's approval rating, like his poll number, is 49 percent.
"The fact that the president is not at fifty percent I think is a sign of real problems for him," said Kerry's chief pollster, Mark Mellman. He sees undecided voters favoring Kerry.

That's right. In fact, to find an incumbent who won re-election without cracking the 50 percent mark, you have to go all the way back to...to...to...

Bill Clinton.

If this were a DVD, how many of you would simply fast-forward to Jan. 20?

By Ed Moltzen · 31 October 2004

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My true indicator--The Weekly Reader student's poll, which unlike any other poll in American History since Eisenhower, has called the victor every time. This time around, it predicts W by a 2/3 to 1/3 majority of Kerry.

Why so accurate? Children often say what they hear their parents saying at the dinner table (i.e. the truth that parents often don't tell pollsters).

Fast forward to 1/20!

Posted by: Roy at October 31, 2004 09:32 PM