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One-Point Bounce
On the opening day of the Democratic National Convention, Democratic nominee Sen. John Kerry was in a dead-heat with his opponent, President Bush: 46 percent of those polled favored Bush and the same amount favored Kerry. Today we found out, via Rasmussen, that Kerry's convention so far has netted him a one-point bounce in the polls. Through last night - a night after Kerry's acceptance speech - the Democratic candidate led Bush by a 47-46 margin. The poll still allowed for some hope for the Kerry camp. Because Rasmussen compiles a three-day tracking number, only one-third of the voter interviews for this result happened after Kerry's speech to close the convention. MORE: Newsweek is calling a two-point bounce for Kerry-Edwards. By contrast, Al Gore got an eight-point convention bounce in 2000; Bill Clinton had a 16-point bounce in 1992, Michael Dukakis received a 7-point bounce in '88 and Walter Mondale a 9-point bounce in '84. By Ed Moltzen · 31 July 2004
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